Title: Is Colby Rasmus’ Break Out For Real?
Date: July 13, 2012
Original Source: The On Deck Circle
Synopsis: This article looked at Colby Rasmus’ offensive breakout over the past two months, attempting to identify underlying trends in his statistical profile to forecast regression or further improvement.
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Title: AL East and NL East Set to Battle for Divisional Supremacy
Date: June 8, 2012
Original Source: The On Deck Circle
Synopsis: This article compared the dominance of both the AL East and NL East ahead of Interleague Play, with the divisions set to play 66 games against each other over the next two weeks.
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Title: Regression Police – Blue Jays’ Starting Pitchers
Date: June 5, 2012
Original Source: The On Deck Circle
Synopsis: This article took a look at the Blue Jays’ starting rotation, comparing their performance thus far to what Defense Independent Pitching Statistics would predict based on their underlying profiles.
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Title: Looking at the Blue Jays’ Rest of Season ZIPS Projections
Date: May 29, 2012
Original Source: The On Deck Circle
Synopsis: After a 25-24 start, I took a look at the Blue Jays’ ZIPS projections for the rest of the season to see which players were due for positive or negative regression, trying to get a gauge on what to expect from the offense moving forward.
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Title: Henderson Alvarez’ Smoke and Mirrors
Date: May 14, 2012
Original Source: The On Deck Circle
Synopsis: With Henderson Alvarez mowing down lineups in the early going, I looked under the hood at some scary signs the peripheral stats show.
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Title: An Early Look a the 2012 Blue Jays Offense – ZIPS Projections
Date: February 7, 2012
Original Source: The On Deck Circle
Synopsis: With ZIPS releasing their individual projections recently, I took a look at the projections for Blue Jays’ hitters, tried my best to adjust for playing time, and deemed the outlook to be mildly favorable compared to 2011.
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Title: On J.P. Arencibia’s Rookie Season
Date: September 13, 2011
Original Source: The On Deck Circle
Synopsis: I still love JPA, but looking back this piece was a bit hyperbolic about his rookie season. While I didn’t nominate him for Rookie of the Year honors, I basically just gave him the “I like this guy” approval and disregarded things like, oh I don’t know, OBP. That said, he’s shown improvement in 2012 so maybe it wasn’t so misguided after all.
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Title: Holy Hell, Nestor Molina! Prospect Watch
Date: August 25, 2011
Original Source: The On Deck Circle
Synopsis: The Blue Jays’ relatively unknown pitching prospect Nestor Molina was destroying the minors, so I took the time to look at his ridiculous numbers and whatever scouting reports I could find online. Molina would later be dealt to the White Sox for Sergio Santos and as of this writing (May 2012) is struggling for Chicago’s AA/AAA affiliates.
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Title: Jays Trade Aaron Hill and John McDonald for Kelly Johnson
Date: August 23, 2011
Original Source: The On Deck Circle
Synopsis: The Jays sent fan-favorites Johnny Mac and Aaron Hill to the desert, but I felt good about the return they got in high-OBP keystone-man Kelly Johnson.
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Title: On Intangibles
Date: August 19, 2011
Original Source: The On Deck Circle
Synopsis: This piece was a bit self-reflective, looking at the disconnect between how I view sports at a personal level (intangible-laden) and how I view them at a professional level (statistically-minded).
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